![]() Historically, one of the best bets in basketball was playing the first half spread on a team at home down 0-2 in a seven-game series. and both games at Arena earlier this season resulted in double-digit victories for the Lakers (with both teams at full strength for those contests). In addition, the Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings between these teams in L.A. Meanwhile, the Lakers are a perfect 6-0 SU at home in the playoffs with an incredible average scoring margin of plus-18.3 ppg. During the regular season and playoffs, they have an average scoring margin of plus-10.1 ppg at home, but that number plummets to minus-2.4 ppg on the road. The Nuggets enjoy the most distinct home-court advantage in the NBA with games taking place at high elevation. However, when you add in Denver's extreme home/away splits to the Lakers' increased motivation in this spot, it's easy to see why the spread is so high. With the Nuggets installed as 7.5-point faves at home in Game 1 and now catching 5.5 points on the road, the 13-point swing might seem extreme at first glance. ![]() Nuggets vs Lakers Game 3 spread and Over/Under analysis However, the Lakers thrive in transition and when attacking the rim, which are both areas where Denver ranks in the Bottom 10 of the league in defensive efficiency per ShotQualityBets.Īlthough the Lakers have Davis protecting the paint, they have a tough time defending against teams that space the floor and can stretch them with 3-point shooting.Īffiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site. The Nuggets had defensive success against the Suns as they used Jokic to hedge on the pick-and-roll and forced Phoenix into tough spots on the floor. The Nuggets might play even more fast and loose on defense tonight since they're playing with a two-game cushion. However, while they're ninth in the league in opponent field goal percentage (46.1%) at home, they sit 27th in opponent field goal percentage on the road (49.5%). During the regular season and playoffs they're shooting a sizzling 50.8% from the floor at home but their 49.6 FG% in away contests is also impressive. ![]() While the Nuggets play far better at home than on the road, their biggest discrepancy has been on the defensive end of the floor. and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope surrounding Jokic. They also have plenty of scoring depth with shooters like Michael Porter Jr. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are anchored by triple-double machine Nikola Jokic while Jamal Murray has been filling up the hoop with 27.2 ppg during the playoffs. The Lakers are led by LeBron James (28.9 points and 6.8 assists per game during the regular season) and Anthony Davis (25.9 ppg, 56.3 FG%) while Austin Reaves is averaging 20.8 ppg over the last five contests. I'm expecting both teams to have bounce-back games on offense thanks to the elite playmakers they possess. Both squads continued to play at a fast tempo in that game but shot far worse than they usually do with each team having a field goal percentage of just 44%. These teams combined for 258 points in Game 1 before mustering just 211 points in Game 2 on Thursday. Nuggets vs Lakers Game 3 picks and predictions Nuggets NBA picks and predictions for Saturday, May 20.įor more in-depth analysis, check out our prop picks for Nuggets vs Lakers Game 3. ![]() But it's the total I'm targeting with my best free Lakers vs. to bounce back on their home floor, with NBA betting lines opening with the Lakers as 5.5-point favorites. Jamal Murray was the hero in Game 2, leading the Nuggets to a comeback victory and giving them a 2-0 lead in this best-of-seven series. The Western Conference Finals shifts to California for Game 3 with the Los Angeles Lakers looking to avoid an almost insurmountable 0-3 deficit against the Denver Nuggets. ![]()
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